A report titled “Scenarios for Confrontation Between China and the US: Consequences for Russia” has been published in Moscow. The report was prepared by experts from MGIMO University with the participation of the Delo Group of Companies. The authors highlight Taiwan as the primary flashpoint in US – China relations and warn that a potential conflict between Washington and Beijing could have serious implications for Russia — particularly in the transport sector.
According to Sergey Shishkarev, the strategic significance of Russia’s transit potential would increase dramatically if tensions between the US and China escalate. In such a scenario, the Eurasian land bridge could become a viable alternative to maritime routes for Chinese exports. However, this potential can only be realized if current infrastructure limitations are addressed.
“Both Zabaykalsk and Nizhneleninskoye are far from operating at their full cross-border capacity — a goal that could be achieved through more focused development of these border crossings. We could be talking not about hundreds of thousands of containers moving in this direction, but about millions,” emphasized Sergey Shishkarev.
Other bottlenecks in Russia’s logistics system include limited throughput capacity on the Eastern Range, a shortage of rolling stock, and administrative barriers that significantly slow down cargo movement, noted the founder of the Delo Group. Shishkarev spoke at a press conference at TASS alongside the report’s co-authors: Andrey Sushentsov, Dean of the Faculty of International Relations at MGIMO, and Andrey Bezrukov, Professor at the Department of Applied Analysis of International Problems.